96.9% Chance of No Interest Rate Hike

The next Federal Reserve FOMC meeting is scheduled for July 19, 2025, and all eyes are on the central bank’s decision. Veteran trader Matthew Dixon has made a sensational claim on X, stating there’s a 96.9% chance the Fed will keep rates unchanged at 4.25%–4.50%, and zero probability of a rate hike.

Dixon also noted a minor 3.1% chance of a 25 bps rate cut, but he emphasized that the Fed’s current stance is firmly on hold. His prediction aligns with broader market sentiment, which suggests the central bank is content to observe further…